New Theory of Primate Origins

It is noteworthy that Head is opening the possibility of primates emerging as early as 185 millions of years ago.   Considering that it has been a common perception that primates as a group are much more recent, it throws the whole subject of such dating wide open.
My first comment is that we have been asked to rely on the fossil record.  I have already shown that this is a mistake.  The fossil record is hugely incomplete to start with and must surely show when a given type is most broadly and commonly distributed.  An animal restricted for a range of reasons to a single island will be naturally invisible elsewhere and even then say little regarding its emergence.
A primate family residing only in forests might be never fossilized unless abruptly overcome by a volcano.  Yet a primate is also most likely able to escape.  Thus interpretation based solely on fossil evidence is fraught with risk regarding time frames.
Scientists are quite right to reject speculations lacking fossil support as unproven.  That still places them as possible and even probable hypothesis.  After all with as little fossil record we interpolate an evolution for mankind that suggests ‘missing links’  My point is that extrapolation has a place in informing us of what we are looking for.
The age set for the breakup of Pangaea is speculative in its own right and is hardly precise physically itself.  A rift valley may separate over tens of millions of years yet be incomplete in areas yet blocking easy traffic.  This is not hard to imagine.
We have a good grasp of the eons involved in our history. We lack trustworthy resolution and data yet presume to interpret.  We need to presume less and look harder. 

New Theory of Primate Origins Sparks Controversy

By Charles Q. Choi, LiveScience Contributor
posted: 27 January 2010 08:33 am ET
The evolution of the distant ancestors of humans and other primates may have been driven by dramatic volcanic eruptions and the parting of continents, according to a controversial new theory.

Scientists remain skeptical about the idea, however.

According to prevailing theories, primates originated in a small area. From this center of origin, they dispersed to other regions and continents.

The problem with this idea is that it has "resulted in all sorts of contradictory centers of origin," from Africa to Asia to the Americas, said researcher Michael Heads at the Buffalo Museum of Science in New York. It has also led to perhaps improbable suggestions that primates rafted across the Mozambique Channel to reach Madagascar or even across the Atlantic to reach South  America,  "imaginary migrations" that are "incompatible with ecological evidence," Heads noted.

Instead, Heads suggests the ancestors of primates and their nearest relatives were actually widespread across different parts of the supercontinent Pangaea some 185 million years ago, back when the lands that make up our continents nowadays were fused together. These ancestors could have evolved into the primates in central-South America, Africa, India and southeast Asia, the flying lemurs and tree shrews in southeast Asia, and extinct creatures known as plesiadapiformes in North America and Eurasia.

The big split
Dramatic geological events on Pangaea — major volcanic eruptions and the splitting up of the continent — might have then helped split the primates into different lineages.

For instance, Heads suggested that at roughly the same time as intense volcanic activity in Africa about 180 million years ago, the group that includes humans, other simians, and tarsiers — altogether known as the haplorhines, or dry-nosed primates — split from the strepsirrhines or curly-nosed primates, which include the lemurs and lorises.

There are more examples he poses as well. He speculated the lemurs of Madagascar diverged from their African relatives at roughly the same time as the opening of the Mozambique Channel some 160 million years ago, while New and Old World monkeys diverged with the opening of the Atlantic about 130 million years ago.
Heads detailed his concept in the journal Zoologica Scripta.

Behind the theory
Heads reached these conclusions by incorporating spatial patterns of primate diversity and distribution as historical evidence for how they might have evolved. Prior research looked solely at the fossil record and genetic data, he said.
Still, doubts remain. Evolutionary biologist Anne Yoder at Duke University in Durham, N.C., bluntly stated, "I believe that Heads' theory is absurd."
While Heads conjectures that primates were widespread across Pangaea some 185 million years ago, the ages of the oldest primate fossils known to date suggest they emerged some 56 million years ago, while genetic data suggested they originated some 80 to 116 million years ago. Primatologist John Fleagle at Stony Brook University in New York added that Heads' findings "are inconsistent with all other evidence we have about the timing of major events in primate evolution."
Heads notes that fossils often serve as an incomplete record for what and when animals actually existed. He added that genetic data might also potentially lead scientists to underestimate ages by tens of millions of years.
Another possibility

Although Fleagle noted it was reasonable to assume that the fossil record is imprecise when it comes to what species emerged when, "the question is how far off is the fossil is record likely to be." For instance, "Why don't we find even a hint of a primate in the very rich fossil record of South America between 180 million years ago and 26 million years ago, if they there were actually there?"

Indeed, new research suggests primates could have rafted from Africa to Madagascar. Computer simulations detailed online Jan. 20 in the journal Nature suggest powerful ocean surface currents flowed eastward for a few million years from northeast Mozambique and Tanzania to the island about 50 million years ago.
These could have rapidly carried the ancestors of Madagascar's mammals outward, following storms that washed them out on natural rafts of trees or large vegetation mats.
"I was very excited to see this paper," Yoder said. This kind of dispersal had been an idea without actual data backing it up. "This takes it out of the realm of storytelling and makes it science," she added.

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